{"id":395806,"date":"2026-02-20T14:29:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T14:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igamingbusiness.com\/br\/?p=395806"},"modified":"2026-02-24T16:43:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T16:43:03","slug":"aprova-brasil-primeiro-mercado-de-previsoes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igamingbusiness.com\/br\/inovacao\/aprova-brasil-primeiro-mercado-de-previsoes\/","title":{"rendered":"Brasil\u00a0aprova primeiro mercado de previs\u00f5es como t\u00edtulo financeiro"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Em meio ao surgimento dos mercados de previs\u00f5es nos EUA com o qual o setor de jogos de azar precisa lidar, os reguladores financeiros do Brasil come\u00e7am a se abrir para mercados de eventos semelhantes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nesta semana, a Comiss\u00e3o de Valores Mobili\u00e1rios (CVM) autorizou que a B3 se torne a primeira operadora do mercado de previs\u00f5es do pa\u00eds. A empresa pretende fazer o lan\u00e7amento no primeiro trimestre deste ano, segundo o BNL Data<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inicialmente, a CVM restringir\u00e1 a negocia\u00e7\u00e3o dos eventos a investidores profissionais com um patrim\u00f4nio m\u00ednimo de R$ 10 milh\u00f5es. A B3 come\u00e7ar\u00e1 a oferecer op\u00e7\u00f5es bin\u00e1rias incluindo cen\u00e1rios com \u201csim\u201d ou \u201cn\u00e3o\u201d baseados no d\u00f3lar, Ibovespa e bitcoin. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCada vez mais, o mundo dos derivados se aproxima da fronteira do mercado de previs\u00f5es\u201d, declarou o presidente da B3 Gilson Finkelsztain numa entrevista ao Valor. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mercado de previs\u00f5es no Brasil: uma zona cinzenta <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o da CVM mant\u00e9m a\u00a0B3\u00a0como t\u00edtulo, ao contr\u00e1rio do arcabou\u00e7o de apostas desportivas do pa\u00eds.\u00a0As\u00a0apostas online foram lan\u00e7adas no ano passado,<\/a>\u00a0no \u00e2mbito da Secretaria de Pr\u00eamios e Apostas do\u00a0Minist\u00e9rio\u00a0da\u00a0Fazenda.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em que pese ser este o primeiro mercado de previs\u00f5es a contar com aprova\u00e7\u00e3o na esfera federal, h\u00e1 outras op\u00e7\u00f5es no Brasil, segundo o BNL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

E, como \u00e9 nos EUA, inexiste um acordo sobre a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o dos mercados de previs\u00e3o. Al\u00e9m da CVM, elas podem ficar sob o Banco Central ou o Minist\u00e9rio da Fazenda. Outras operadoras j\u00e1 oferecem mercados futuros numa zona cinzenta em termos regulamentares, como a Previas e a Palpitada. A Futuriza anunciou seu lan\u00e7amento para mar\u00e7o, oferecendo op\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras nos mercados da pol\u00edtica, economia, esportes e entretenimento. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os principais mercados de previs\u00e3o com p\u00e9 nos EUA ainda n\u00e3o se aventuraram pelo Brasil. Apesar disso, a\u00a0Kalshi\u00a0est\u00e1\u00a0considerando a possibilidade de se lan\u00e7ar no Brasil neste ano<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ser\u00e1 que os mercados de previs\u00e3o do Brasil ter\u00e3o um destino parecido com o dos EUA? <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nos EUA, as operadoras do mercado de previs\u00f5es ficam sob a al\u00e7ada da Commodity Futures Trading Commission<\/em> (Comiss\u00e3o de Negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de Futuros de Mercadorias, em ingl\u00eas), na esfera federal. A regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o prev\u00ea que as operadoras aceitam oferecer negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de eventos no territ\u00f3rio americano. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

No entanto,\u00a0os reguladores de jogos estaduais t\u00eam questionado os mercados,\u00a0sobretudo negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de eventos desportivos. Mais de 20 processos\u00a0tramitam contra operadoras de mercado de previs\u00f5es, a maioria\u00a0tendo\u00a0a\u00a0Kalshi\u00a0como parte.\u00a0Conforme os processos avan\u00e7am nas inst\u00e2ncias judiciais, algumas legislaturas estaduais\u00a0tamb\u00e9m analisam a possibilidade de proibir ou regulamentar mercados de previs\u00e3o.\u00a0Acontece que\u00a0essas leis provavelmente teriam peso m\u00ednimo\u00a0at\u00e9 que uma decis\u00e3o da Suprema Corte\u00a0resolva a quest\u00e3o.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00a0Kalshi\u00a0est\u00e1\u00a0contestando \u00f3rg\u00e3os estaduais que argumentam que as negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de eventos est\u00e3o contornando leis\u00a0de apostas estaduais. Al\u00e9m disso, a\u00a0Kalshi\u00a0afirmou\u00a0que a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o da\u00a0CFTC, sob a qual opera, prevalece sobre leis e regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es estaduais. Diversos ju\u00edzes j\u00e1 decidiram a favor dos reguladores estaduais conforme os casos avan\u00e7am pelo sistema judicial,\u00a0em estados como\u00a0Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey\u00a0e Nova\u00a0York.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta semana, o Nono Tribunal Regional decidiu a favor do Conselho de Controle de Jogos de Nevada, permitindo que ele proibisse a Kalshi de oferecer contratos no estado. Cerca de 90% do volume de negocia\u00e7\u00f5es da Kalshi est\u00e1 centrado em esportes. O Tribunal acompanhou a decis\u00e3o de um juiz feita em novembro. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00a0Kalshi\u00a0garantiu uma vit\u00f3ria na Calif\u00f3rnia,\u00a0onde as tribos argumentam que a operadora est\u00e1 violando a Lei Reguladora dos Jogos Ind\u00edgenas. Em novembro, um juiz decidiu nesse caso que a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o da CFTC dos mercados de eventos significa que os contratos de eventos n\u00e3o s\u00e3o\u00a0apostas\u00a0e, portanto, n\u00e3o violam a lei citada.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O novo presidente da CFTC, Michael\u00a0Selig, anunciou recentemente\u00a0que a comiss\u00e3o apoiar\u00e1 os mercados de previs\u00f5es no tribunal nesta semana.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Comiss\u00e3o brasileira aprovou a B3 para o lan\u00e7amento do primeiro mercado de previs\u00f5es do pa\u00eds para investidores profissionais, criando um conflito regulat\u00f3rio muito diferente do que ocorre nos EUA. 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