Covid-19: gambling market facing 18.6% revenue hit
![](https://igamingbusiness.com/img-srv/eXPvcLFevvT539r5J9A7ocHLfoWd0gyd9D_lR2re_8w/resizing_type:auto/width:0/height:0/gravity:sm/enlarge:1/ext:webp/strip_metadata:1/quality:90/bG9jYWw6Ly8vaWdhbWluZ2J1c2luZXNzLmNvbS93cC1jb250ZW50L3VwbG9hZHMvMjAyMC8wOC9tYXJ0aW4tc2FuY2hlei1qMmM3eWYyMjNNay11bnNwbGFzaF8wLmpwZw.webp)
H2 Gambling Capital has further downgraded its revenue forecast for the global gambling market as the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic continues to disrupt the sector.
iGB’s principal data partner is now projecting 2020 global gambling gross win of £384.4bn, 18.8% below the forecast it provided before the outbreak began to materially impact the sector in early February, starting with the casino closures in Macau (see Charts 1 and 2 below).
Following today’s downgrade by a further two percentage points over the last seven days, global gambling revenue is now tracking below the total recorded for 2012 (see Chart 8).
H2 said the further $15bn reduction in its 2020 forecast was down to the addition of the IMF's downgrade of its expectations for global economic growth from +4.9% to +3.0% and other data points, including the cessation of Chinese lottery sales in February and Q1 company results.
From a regional perspective, Europe saw the greatest downgrade in the last seven days, by more than six percentage points to -19.8% (Chart 4).
Asia/Oceania, where the pandemic emerged, is now forecast to finish -19.3% behind pre-pandemic estimates and North America by -16.5% (Charts 3 and 5).